Needing no introduction, AMD this afternoon is the second of the PC chip titans to announce their earnings for the quarter and for the full 2020 calendar year. The company has continued to ride high on the success of its Zen architecture-based CPUs and APUs, as well as the recent launch of the Playstation 5 and Xbox Series X|S. As a result, these products have propelled AMD to another record quarter and another record year, as the company continues to hit revenue records while recording an increasingly tidy profit in the process.

For the fourth quarter of 2020, AMD reported $3.24B in revenue, a 53% jump over the same quarter a year ago. As a result, Q4’2020 was (once again) AMD’s best quarter ever, built on the back of strong sales across virtually the entire company. And AMD’s gross margin has held steady at 45%, the same as Q4’19.

Meanwhile, in what was already a strong quarter for the company, AMD also realized some one-off gains related to an income tax valuation allowance, which added another $1.3B to AMD’s net income. As a result, the company booked a massive profit of $1.78B for the quarter alone. Otherwise, excluding that one-off gain and looking at AMD’s non-GAAP results, the company still booked 66% more in net income in Q4’20 than they did the year-ago quarter. So not only is AMD pulling in record revenues for the quarter, but that is translating into much higher profits as well.

AMD Q4 2020 Financial Results (GAAP)
  Q4'2020 Q4'2019 Q3'2020 Y/Y Q/Q
Revenue $3.2B $2.1B $2.8B +53% +16%
Gross Margin 45% 45% 44% Flat +1pp
Operating Income $570M $348M $449M +64% +27%
Net Income $1781M* $170M $390M +948% +357%
Earnings Per Share $1.45 $0.15 $0.32 +867% +353%

As for AMD’s full-year earnings, the company has been having strong quarters all year now, so unsurprisingly this is reflected in their full-year results. Overall, for 2020 AMD booked $9.76B in revenue, which was an increase of 45% over 2019, and once again a record for the company. Amusingly, AMD’s gross margin for the entire year was also 45%, which is one percentage point higher than 2019’s.

Like AMD’s quarterly results, their full-year results are also distorted a bit by their one-off tax benefit. By GAAP standards AMD booked an incredible $2.49B in net income for 2020. However removing that tax benefit brings their net income down to around $1.4B – or a non-GAAP $1.56B – which is still a huge year-over-year increase in profitability for the company, more than doubling their 2019 non-GAAP performance. Despite AMD’s gross margin only improving by a single point, AMD is increasingly enjoying the benefits of scale, with record-breaking product shipments turning into profits for the company.

AMD FY 2020 Financial Results (GAAP)
  FY 2020 FY 2019 FY 2018 Y/Y
Revenue $9.8B $6.7B $6.5B +45%
Gross Margin 45% 43% 38% +2pp
Operating Income $1369M $631M $451M +117%
Net Income $2490M* $341M $337M +630%
Earnings Per Share $2.06 $0.30 $0.32 +587%

Moving on to individual reporting segments, 2020 marks an interesting year for AMD given the company’s unusual split into two major segments. Normally AMD’s Compute and Graphics segment is by far and away the flag bearer for the company’s earnings, but the launch of the latest generation of consoles, combined with ever-improving EPYC sales, means that the Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment also saw a very strong quarter.

For Q4’20, AMD’s Computing and Graphics segment booked $1.96B in revenue, an 18% improvement over the year-ago quarter. According to the company, the biggest contributor to the increase here is strong sales of Ryzen processors. AMD does not break down the numbers by chip sales volumes, but Ryzen chip average selling prices (ASPs) themselves were actually down year-over-year, which AMD attributes to increased (and record) Ryzen mobile sales. The recent release of AMD’s Ryzen 5000 desktop CPUs did bring up ASPs on a quarterly basis, but Ryzen 5000 CPUs as a small piece of a larger whole, especially as they remain in short supply.

As for AMD’s GPU operations, the company reports that Radeon ASPs increased year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, thanks to the recent launch of the Radeon RX 6000 series. Perhaps tellingly, the company is not offering any volume comparisons on a year-over-year basis, a likely indicator that AMD’s GPU sales are getting throttled by their supply constraints, especially as the company continues to ramp up the RX 6000 family.

AMD Q4 2020 Reporting Segments
  Q4'2020 Q4'2019 Q3'2020
Computing and Graphics
Revenue $1960M $1662M $1667M
Operating Income $420M $360M $384M
Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom
Revenue $1284M $465M $1134M
Operating Income $243M $45M $141M

Meanwhile, AMD’s Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment booked $1.28B in revenue for the quarter. The 176% year-over-year increase in revenue was driven by a mix of both improved EPYC sales, and of course the launch of the latest-generation gaming consoles. Unfortunately AMD doesn’t break down how much each of these product groups contributed, so it’s hard to say how much of this growth is the EPYC side of matters as opposed to the more irregular game console revenue. At any rate, according to AMD Q4 of 2020 was another record quarter on the server side of matters, with AMD recording record server revenue thanks to continued cloud and enterprise sales growth.

Looking forward, AMD is expecting a very promising first quarter of 2021 and beyond, albeit with expectations tempered by ongoing supply shortages. At this point the company has little trouble selling everything it can make, especially with the continued high demand for tech products spurred on by the pandemic. So a lot of what’s driving AMD’s future, especially over the next quarter or two, is based on just how many 7nm wafers the company can get out of TSMC. For that reason, AMD’s 2021 revenue forecast is relatively conservative for a growing AMD, as the company is projecting a 37% increase in non-GAAP revenue.

On the product side of matters, AMD will be enjoying a largely new and refreshed slate of product lines. The company’s Zen 3 architecture has begun shipping in laptops in the form of the new Cezanne APU, and the EPYC Milan family of server CPUs is set to launch later in the quarter. On top of that, they have ongoing sales of their Ryzen 5000 desktop CPUs, as well as the continued ramp-up and further releases of Radeon RX 6000 (RDNA2) GPUs, with new desktop and mobile parts expected in the first half of this year. Consequently, AMD is expecting a good year across all of its product lines, with all of its product lines expecting to see further growth.

Source: AMD

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  • Marlin1975 - Tuesday, January 26, 2021 - link

    And to think they could have made a lot more if they could have kept up with demand.

    Hopefully they got a lot more wafers this quarter.
    Reply
  • whatthe123 - Tuesday, January 26, 2021 - link

    Sometimes the market is illogical and will turn on a company if they go too far above their projections, maybe under the assumption that the company doesn't have an accurate outlook. AMD has a good track record since zen and will hopefully keep it up. Reply
  • Valantar - Wednesday, January 27, 2021 - link

    Haha, "sometimes the market is illogical" - good one! Finance markets are fundamentally irrational, governed by a particular combination of gambling, superstition, naïve self-interest and fear, with a minor smattering of reasoning attempting to tie it all together. It would be more accurate to say that "sometimes companies have to under-promise in order to not trigger the various paranoias and (vaguely founded) beliefs of financial analysts and other influential people". Reply
  • Targon - Wednesday, January 27, 2021 - link

    Since AMD has been very good about the accuracy of guidance, these people should really look at AMD being honest, and then turn on Intel and those other companies that continually spout a lot of hot air and often are obviously cooking the books when it comes to the results. Reply
  • WaltC - Wednesday, January 27, 2021 - link

    Yes, it's always best for a company's guidance to be conservative, imo. It's hard to get sued on always-conservative guidance, imo. But, the market is well-attuned to these issues, actually, and is usually good at seeing the writing between the lines, most of the time. Certainly not *all the time* however...;) Reply
  • WaltC - Wednesday, January 27, 2021 - link

    Yes, the stock markets run on herd instinct, very much like cattle...;) No question about that. Companies actually pay people on Wall Street to spread positive rumors about themselves & negative rumors about their competitors, whenever possible. It's always amusing to hear people attribute rises and falls in market stocks to particular "news items"...;) Investor markets don't work that way. The markets are most often illogical, actually, and that is why. People say, "What? Company X just announced its best quarter ever, and the stock went down???" Things like "profit taking" don't occur to those who look for "logic" in the markets. It's not all illogical, of course, thankfully...;) But the markets have their own dynamics due to the nature of the beast. Companies are best judged by their products--not their shifting-sands stock valuations...! You can always tell market n00bs when they are overly impressed with nonsense like "market cap"--especially when they insist its measure of a company's "size"...;) Such people are the primary targets of commissioned brokers! Reply
  • Tams80 - Tuesday, February 2, 2021 - link

    You have to take the rumours with some value as well, as others will and in the short term at least that might as well make them true. And, of course, you add to the problem by doing so. Reply
  • Tams80 - Tuesday, February 2, 2021 - link

    I wonder what TSMC's deal with Apple is like. I understand that Apple paid for EUV machines for TSMC in order to effectively completely book 5nm? And they have already booked a hefty chunk of 3nm, right?

    It almost doesn't seem fair. But then again the world isn't 'fair'.
    Reply
  • Rictorhell - Tuesday, January 26, 2021 - link

    Very good news for AMD. I hope that you all continue to invest in R&D and keep working on getting investors interested in your company. PLEASE don't slow down or pause, keep pushing forward on research, and increasing and maintaining your performance lead in CPUs. As for GPU's, things are good, but I expect and hope for them to continue improving and get even better when the next line of products for the PC are released. The supply shortages cannot be helped, at the moment, but things should eventually improve in that area, it's just a question of when. Reply
  • bji - Wednesday, January 27, 2021 - link

    I wish AMD were better at pricing their products though. If they can only make and sell X number of processors, they should pick a price point that is closer to what people are willing to pay, then AMD can make most of the profits instead of scalpers. If the Ryzen 5 5600X were $399 from AMD, I'd not hesitate to buy it because I would be OK with where the money is going - to a company that is going to use a big chunk of that money to make new products for me in the future that I will like even more. Paying $399 to scalpers for a 5600X (or god forbid $500+ like they were all asking until a week or two ago) is just setting myself up to get screwed by them even harder in future.

    At the same time, AMD's profits would look better and my AMD holdings would improve more. Win/win! Only the scalpers lose!
    Reply

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